The point spread’s sole purpose is to even the betting to ensure that the total amount bet on the underdog is equal to the amount bet on the favorite. The book makes its cash on the vigorish or juice. So, great online football (profere.uvci.edu.ci official website) in the event the amount bet on the underdog is the same as the amount bet on the underdog, the book is guaranteed a 10% profit on half the bets made, regardless of which team covers.
The very best linesmakers are those people who have a feel for just what the betting public believes. The betting line they set reflects the betting public’s perception of the strength of the two teams. It won’t necessarily reflect the true relative strengths of the two teams. And the sportsbook betting public’s perception is often wrong.
Once you understand that concept, everything else will begin to fall into place. You may have an edge over most bettors.
Be objective. Listen to you head not your heart. Do not bet against the Cowboys just because you want to see them lose. And, do not bet on a team simply because you like the team. And do not bet on your favorite team if you are an avid fan. It’s extremely hard to be objective. Fans have a tendency to be overly optimistic about their favorite team or overly pessimistic if things are not going well.
Be consistent. Bet the same amount on each game. Some players bet $200 on games they think are locks and $100 on ones they are not so sure of. It’s those not so sure of bets that rack up the losses. If you are uncertain about a game, don’t bet it.
Should you bet on the home team? Generally no. On the flip side, if you can be objective, you’ve got an advantage. You probably know more about your home team than those in other parts of the country since the local media gives extensive coverage to the home team, coverage that’s not shared with the rest of the country.
Look for Trends. If you spot a trend, component that into your decision. Some teams have other teams’ number. In the last four years the 49ers have covered against the Rams 7 of 8 times as well as the one time they did not, Young was hurt and they had to play Druckmiller, a rookie. Within the last 5 years, Green Bay has lost 4 out the 5 games played in Detroit.
Trends are not guarantees. The pattern might not hold and you lose your bet. Nevertheless, remember the idea is to improve your chances of winning. Determined by past performance, if you bet on the 49ers to cover against the Rams, you are more prone to win your bet than to lose.
Place your bets late in the week. By waiting until the end of the week, you definitely will know about any injuries to key players that could affect how you bet. Occasionally, players are injured or aggravate an injury in practice. Or what seemed like a minor injury on Tuesday may turn out to be one which will keep the player out of the game. In addition, weather conditions might affect your bet. Inclement weather often keeps the scoring down.
Limit the Number of Games You Bet. More isn’t better. The optimum number appears to be 3 to six games. Anymore and also the winning percentages usually decline because the law of averages is necessary. (The more games you play the more likely you are to have 50% winners and 50% losers. And that’s a losing season, due to the juice.) On top of that, it’s simpler to focus on a limited number of games.
Losing Streaks Happen. No matter what, you may count on a losing streak. It happens to handicappers, professional gamblers, casual bettors, and even books. Be well prepared to ride it out. For anybody who is using Pro Predictor or a handicapping service, you need to stick with it throughout the season as a way to come out a winner. Leaving at the very first sign of a losing streak will guarantee you lose for the season. Suppose you drop out only to have the handicapper go 5 for 5 the next week. Those are 5 wins you certainly will never have and also will affect your overall winning percentage.
Never Bet Against a Streak. This really is an integral to increasing your winning and decreasing your losses. Consider this a betting mantra. Say it over as well as over until it is firmly embedded within your mind. Never bet against a streak. And, if you are going to bet on streaks, bet the streak continues. And it will not matter regardless of if the streak is a winning streak or possibly a losing streak. Ironically, logic will tell you that the odds of a streak continuing double with each additional week and you should bet against it. But there’s a hidden trap.
Think about the following scenario: In week 10, you notice that Green Bay has covered for 4 weeks in a row. Should you bet that the streak will end? Simply, per week the odds against the streak continuing double.
Betting Against the Streak: You bet $100 against Green Bay covering in week 11. Sure enough, they fail to cover. You’re $100 ahead. But what happens whenever they do cover and the streak continues. You’re $110 within the hole. What do you do? Do you bet another $100 against the streak in week 12 because the odds against the streak continuing are even greater? In the event that you do, as well as the streak ends, you win $100 and now are just $10 loser and that’s the end of that. Nevertheless, in the event the streak continues, you’re now $220 in the hole. What do you need to do now? Do you bite the bullet and take your losses or do you fall into the trap of chasing your loses? Do you continue and try to get back some of your losses? Do you double up within an attempt to cover your loses? Do not do it. Doubling up is never a wise idea. It’s another trap that can cause you to have huge losses and it isn’t worth the gamble.
Betting with the Streak: You bet $100 that Green Bay will cover again in week 11. Whenever they fail to cover, you have lost $110 and that’s that, much like a regular straight bet. But what happens should they do cover and also the streak continues. You’re $100 to the excellent and if you continue to bet on the streak, the most you may lose is $10. If you bet another $100 with the streak in week 12 and the streak ends, your net losses are $10. But, should the streak continues, you’re guaranteed to come out at least $90 ahead and with each addition week the streak continues, you add another $100 to your winnings.
As a result, if you bet against a streak, the most you can win is $100 but you the amount you can lose is limited only by the length of the streak. If you bet with the streak, the most you can lose is $110, but the amount you may win is limited only by the length of the streak.