Many people enjoy sports, and sports fans often enjoy placing wagers on the outcomes of professional sports. Most casual sports bettors lose money over-time, creating a bad name for the sports betting industry. But what if we could “even the playing online soccer gambling site; breaking news, field?”
If we transform sports betting into a more business-like and professional endeavor, there is a higher likelihood that we could make the case for sports betting being an investment.
The Sports Marketplace as an Asset Class
How can we make the jump from gambling to investing? Dealing with a team of analysts, economists, and Wall Street professionals – we often toss the phrase “sports investing” around. But what makes something an “asset class?”
An asset class is usually described as being an investment with a marketplace – which has an inherent return. The sports betting world clearly has a marketplace – but what about a source of returns?
For instance, investors earn interest on bonds in exchange for lending money. Stockholders earn long-term returns by owning a portion of a company. Some economists say that “sports investors” have a built-in inherent return in the form of “risk transfer.” That’s, sports investors can earn returns by helping provide liquidity and transferring risk amongst other sports marketplace participants (for example the betting public and sportsbooks).
Sports Investing Indicators
We will take this investing analogy a step further by studying the sports betting “marketplace.” Much like more traditional assets for example stocks and bonds are determined by price, dividend yield, and interest – the sports marketplace “price” is according to point spreads or money line odds. These lines and odds change over time, much like stock prices rise and fall.
To further our goal of making sports gambling a far more business-like endeavor, and also to study the sports marketplace further, we collect several additional indicators. First and foremost, we collect public “betting percentages” to study “money flows” and sports marketplace activity. Furthermore, just as the financial headlines shout, “Stocks rally on heavy volume,” we also track the volume of betting activity in the sports gambling market.
Sports Marketplace Participants
Earlier, we discussed “risk transfer” as well as the sports marketplace participants. Within the sports betting world, the sportsbooks serve a similar purpose as the investing world’s brokers and market-makers. They additionally sometimes act in manner just like institutional investors.
Within the investing world, the public is known as the “small investor.” Similarly, the general public often makes small bets in the sports marketplace. The small bettor often bets with their heart, roots for their favorite teams, and it has certain tendencies that may be exploited by other market participants.
“Sports investors” are participants who take on a similar role as a market-maker or institutional investor. Sports investors make use of a business-like approach to cash in on sports betting. In effect, they take on a risk transfer role and are able to capture the inherent returns of the sports betting industry.
Contrarian Methods
How can we capture the inherent returns of the sports market? One method is to utilize a contrarian approach and bet against the public to capture value. This is one rationale why we collect and study “betting percentages” from several major online sports books. Studying this data allows us to feel the pulse of the market action – and carve out the performance of the “general public.”
This, combined with point spread movement, as well as the “volume” of betting activity can give us an notion of what various participants are doing. Our research shows that the general public, or “small bettors” – typically underperform within the sports betting industry. This, in turn, permits us to systematically capture value by using sports investing methods. Our goal is to apply a systematic and academic approach to the sports betting industry.